"The Senate Intelligence Committee on ...

“The Senate Intelligence Committee on Tuesday sent a classified letter … pointing out that the agencies broadly underestimated how long the Ukrainian military would be able to fend off Russian forces and overestimated how long Afghan fighters would hold out against the Taliban last summer after the US withdrawal from the country”

A statistician would say: On average they have been correct! ;-)

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US intelligence community launches review following Ukraine and Afghanistan intel failings | CNN Politics

The US intelligence community is carrying out a sweeping internal review of how it assesses the fighting power of foreign militaries amid mounting pressure from key lawmakers on Capitol Hill who say officials have failed twice in one year on the two major foreign policy crises faced by the Biden administration in Ukraine and Afghanistan.

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